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Jpmorgan Smartretirement Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 17.65

JP
SRJIX -- USA Fund  

USD 19.46  0.63  3.35%

Jpmorgan Smartretirement probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Jpmorgan Smartretirement time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Smartretirement odds to be computed. Additionally, take a look at Jpmorgan Smartretirement Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Correlation, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Volatility, Jpmorgan Smartretirement History as well as Jpmorgan Smartretirement Performance.
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Jpmorgan Smartretirement Target Price Odds to finish below 17.65

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 17.65  or more in 30 days
 19.46 30 days 17.65 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Smartretirement to drop to $ 17.65  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement price to stay between $ 17.65  and its current price of $19.46 at the end of the 30-day period is nearly 4.15 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Jpmorgan Smartretirement has beta of 0.2521 . This entails as returns on market go up, Jpmorgan Smartretirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Jpmorgan Smartretirement is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Jpmorgan Smartretirement Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.25
σ
Overall volatility
=0.57
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Alerts and Suggestions

Jpmorgan Smartretirement generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The fund maintains about 7.46% of its assets in cash

Jpmorgan SmartretirementPrice Density Drivers