Jpmorgan Smartretirement Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 22.2

SRJIX -- USA Fund  

USD 21.41  0.11  0.51%

Jpmorgan Smartretirement probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Jpmorgan Smartretirement time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Smartretirement odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Jpmorgan Smartretirement Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Correlation, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Smartretirement Volatility, Jpmorgan Smartretirement History as well as Jpmorgan Smartretirement Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Jpmorgan Smartretirement Target Price Odds to finish over 22.2

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.20  or more in 30 days
 21.41 30 days 22.20 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Smartretirement to move over $ 22.20  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Smartretirement price to stay between its current price of $ 21.41  and $ 22.20  at the end of the 30-day period is about 7.72 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Jpmorgan Smartretirement has beta of 0.5724 . This entails as returns on market go up, Jpmorgan Smartretirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2035 Fund R5 Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.021 implying that it can potentially generate 0.021% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Jpmorgan Smartretirement Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.021007
β
Beta against DOW=0.57
σ
Overall volatility
=0.35
Ir
Information ratio =0.004892

Jpmorgan Smartretirement Alerts and Suggestions

The fund maintains about 10.97% of its assets in cash

Jpmorgan SmartretirementPrice Density Drivers

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