JPMorgan SmartRetirement Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 20.92

SRJSX -- USA Fund  

USD 21.50  0.11  0.51%

JPMorgan SmartRetirement probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JPMorgan SmartRetirement time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JPMorgan SmartRetirement odds to be computed. Also please take a look at JPMorgan SmartRetirement Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMorgan SmartRetirement Correlation, JPMorgan SmartRetirement Hype Analysis, JPMorgan SmartRetirement Volatility, JPMorgan SmartRetirement History as well as JPMorgan SmartRetirement Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Symbol:
Refresh Odds

JPMorgan SmartRetirement Target Price Odds to finish below 20.92

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.92  or more in 30 days
 21.50 30 days 20.92 
about 53.88
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan SmartRetirement to drop to $ 20.92  or more in 30 days from now is about 53.88 (This JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan SmartRetirement Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of JPMorgan SmartRetirement price to stay between $ 20.92  and its current price of $21.5 at the end of the 30-day period is about 41.51 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JPMorgan SmartRetirement has beta of 0.7672 . This entails as returns on market go up, JPMorgan SmartRetirement average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.014 implying that it can potentially generate 0.014% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 JPMorgan SmartRetirement Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.01396
β
Beta against DOW=0.77
σ
Overall volatility
=0.35
Ir
Information ratio =0.006278

JPMorgan SmartRetirement Alerts and Suggestions

The fund maintains about 10.97% of its assets in cash

JPMorgan SmartRetirementPrice Density Drivers

Search macroaxis.com