State Street Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    SSHAX -- USA Fund  

    USD 12.45  0.00  0.00%

    State Street probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of State Street Global Managed Vol performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify State Street time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like State Street odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    State Street Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     12.45 30 days 12.45  ABOUT 41.78%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of State Street to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 41.78% (This State Street Global Managed Vol probability density function shows the probability of State Street Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, State Street Global Managed Vol has beta of -0.0306 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding State Street are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, State Street Global Managed Vol is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. State Street Global is significantly underperforming DOW.
     State Street Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.03
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.25

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