Severn Trent Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 33.55
| SVTRF Stock | USD 31.52 0.00 0.00% |
Severn |
Severn Trent Target Price Odds to finish over 33.55
The tendency of Severn Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 33.55 or more in 90 days |
| 31.52 | 90 days | 33.55 | about 1.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Severn Trent to move over $ 33.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.7 (This Severn Trent PLC probability density function shows the probability of Severn Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Severn Trent PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 31.52 and $ 33.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Severn Trent PLC has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Severn Trent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Severn Trent PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Severn Trent PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Severn Trent Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Severn Trent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Severn Trent PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Severn Trent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Severn Trent Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Severn Trent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Severn Trent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Severn Trent PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Severn Trent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Severn Trent Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Severn Trent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Severn Trent PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Severn Trent PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 6.26 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.36, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Severn Trent PLC has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Severn Trent until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Severn Trent's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Severn Trent PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Severn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Severn Trent's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (87.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 531 M. | |
| About 74.0% of Severn Trent shares are owned by institutional investors |
Severn Trent Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Severn Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Severn Trent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Severn Trent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 250.3 M |
Severn Trent Technical Analysis
Severn Trent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Severn Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Severn Trent PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Severn Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Severn Trent Predictive Forecast Models
Severn Trent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Severn Trent's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Severn Trent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Severn Trent PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Severn Trent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Severn Trent PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Severn Trent PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 6.26 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.36, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Severn Trent PLC has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Severn Trent until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Severn Trent's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Severn Trent PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Severn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Severn Trent's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (87.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 531 M. | |
| About 74.0% of Severn Trent shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Severn Trent Backtesting, Severn Trent Valuation, Severn Trent Correlation, Severn Trent Hype Analysis, Severn Trent Volatility, Severn Trent History as well as Severn Trent Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for Severn Pink Sheet analysis
When running Severn Trent's price analysis, check to measure Severn Trent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Severn Trent is operating at the current time. Most of Severn Trent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Severn Trent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Severn Trent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Severn Trent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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