Skyworks Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.36925

SWKS Stock  USD 108.32  0.43  0.40%   
Skyworks Solutions' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Skyworks Solutions. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Skyworks Solutions based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Skyworks Solutions over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-05 CALL at $108.0 is a CALL option contract on Skyworks Solutions' common stock with a strick price of 108.0 expiring on 2024-04-05. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:37:52 for $1.75 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.75, and an ask price of $1.85. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 26.02. View All Skyworks options

Closest to current price Skyworks long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Skyworks Solutions' future price is the expected price of Skyworks Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Skyworks Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Skyworks Solutions Backtesting, Skyworks Solutions Valuation, Skyworks Solutions Correlation, Skyworks Solutions Hype Analysis, Skyworks Solutions Volatility, Skyworks Solutions History as well as Skyworks Solutions Performance.
For more information on how to buy Skyworks Stock please use our How to Invest in Skyworks Solutions guide.
  
At this time, Skyworks Solutions' Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 3.98 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 2.42 in 2024. Please specify Skyworks Solutions' target price for which you would like Skyworks Solutions odds to be computed.

Skyworks Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 93.36925

The tendency of Skyworks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 93.37  or more in 90 days
 108.32 90 days 93.37 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Skyworks Solutions to drop to $ 93.37  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Skyworks Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Skyworks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Skyworks Solutions price to stay between $ 93.37  and its current price of $108.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Skyworks Solutions will likely underperform. Additionally Skyworks Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Skyworks Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Skyworks Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Skyworks Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skyworks Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
106.47108.32110.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.53106.38119.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.19106.04107.89
Details
31 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
109.39120.21133.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Skyworks Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Skyworks Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Skyworks Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Skyworks Solutions.

Skyworks Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Skyworks Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Skyworks Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Skyworks Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Skyworks Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.95
σ
Overall volatility
3.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Skyworks Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Skyworks Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Skyworks Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of March 2024 Skyworks Solutions paid $ 0.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors in Skyworks Solutions have unfortunately lost 38 percent over the last three years

Skyworks Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Skyworks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Skyworks Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skyworks Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding160.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments738.5 M

Skyworks Solutions Technical Analysis

Skyworks Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Skyworks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Skyworks Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Skyworks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Skyworks Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Skyworks Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Skyworks Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Skyworks Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Skyworks Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Skyworks Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Skyworks Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of March 2024 Skyworks Solutions paid $ 0.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Investors in Skyworks Solutions have unfortunately lost 38 percent over the last three years
When determining whether Skyworks Solutions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Skyworks Solutions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Skyworks Solutions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Skyworks Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Skyworks Stock analysis

When running Skyworks Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Skyworks Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skyworks Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Skyworks Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skyworks Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skyworks Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skyworks Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Skyworks Solutions' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Skyworks Solutions. If investors know Skyworks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Skyworks Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
2.6
Earnings Share
5.64
Revenue Per Share
29.133
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of Skyworks Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Skyworks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Skyworks Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Skyworks Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Skyworks Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Skyworks Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Skyworks Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Skyworks Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Skyworks Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.