Tricida Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.98
| TCDADelisted Stock | USD 0.01 0.0001 0.71% |
Tricida |
Tricida Target Price Odds to finish below 31.98
The tendency of Tricida Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 31.98 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 31.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tricida to stay under $ 31.98 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Tricida probability density function shows the probability of Tricida Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tricida price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 31.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tricida has a beta of -3.01. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Tricida are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Tricida is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Tricida has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Tricida Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tricida
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tricida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tricida's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tricida Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tricida is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tricida's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tricida, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tricida within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -2.85 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -3.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Tricida Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tricida for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tricida can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tricida is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Tricida has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tricida has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (176.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Tricida currently holds about 98.69 M in cash with (140.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Tricida Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tricida Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tricida's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tricida's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140.5 M |
Tricida Technical Analysis
Tricida's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tricida Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tricida. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tricida Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tricida Predictive Forecast Models
Tricida's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tricida's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tricida's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tricida
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tricida for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tricida help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tricida is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Tricida has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tricida has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (176.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Tricida currently holds about 98.69 M in cash with (140.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Note that the Tricida information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tricida's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Other Consideration for investing in Tricida Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Tricida check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Tricida's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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