Tefen Industrial (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

TEFN -- Israel Stock  

ILS 626.30  11.90  1.94%

Tefen Industrial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Tefen Industrial Engineering Management Systems Analysis performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Tefen Industrial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tefen Industrial odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Tefen Industrial Backtesting, Tefen Industrial Valuation, Tefen Industrial Correlation, Tefen Industrial Hype Analysis, Tefen Industrial Volatility, Tefen Industrial History as well as Tefen Industrial Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Tefen Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 626.30 30 days 626.30  ABOUT 53.59%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Tefen Industrial to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 53.59% (This Tefen Industrial Engineering Management Systems Analysis probability density function shows the probability of Tefen Industrial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Tefen Industrial has beta of 0.4315 . This entails as returns on market go up, Tefen Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Tefen Industrial Engineering Management Systems Analysis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tefen Industrial Engineering Management Systems Analysis has an alpha of 0.1941 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1941% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Tefen Industrial Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=0.43
σ
Overall volatility
=58.51
Ir
Information ratio =0.03862

Tefen Industrial Alerts

Tefen Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

Tefen Industrial Eng has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Tefen Industrial Eng has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated 18.97M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 734.9 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tefen Industrial Engineering Management Systems Analysis has Current Ratio of 0.28 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
This company reported revenue of 34.34M. Net Loss for the year was (52.53M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.55M.
TEFEN IND ENGR & has accumulated about 1.04M in cash with (7.97M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.

Price Density Drivers

Tefen Industrial Health Indicators

Float Shares4.85M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day124.07k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month64.07k
Also please take a look at Tefen Industrial Backtesting, Tefen Industrial Valuation, Tefen Industrial Correlation, Tefen Industrial Hype Analysis, Tefen Industrial Volatility, Tefen Industrial History as well as Tefen Industrial Performance. Please also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
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