Tamir Fishman (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    TFVC -- Israel Stock  

    null 3.13  0.03  0.95%

    Tamir Fishman probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Tamir Fishman Ventures II performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Tamir Fishman time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tamir Fishman odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Tamir Fishman Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     3.13 30 days 3.13  ABOUT 88.98%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Tamir Fishman to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 88.98% (This Tamir Fishman Ventures II probability density function shows the probability of Tamir Fishman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Tamir Fishman Ventures II has beta of -1.6301 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Tamir Fishman Ventures II are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Tamir Fishman is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Tamir Fishman Ventures II has an alpha of 1.3521 implying that it can potentially generate 1.3521% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Tamir Fishman Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =1.35
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.63
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2.04
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.08

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    Tamir Fishman is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Also please take a look at World Market Map. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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