Top Systems (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 834.50
| TOPS Stock | 834.50 4.40 0.53% |
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Top Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 834.50
The tendency of Top Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 834.50 | 90 days | 834.50 | roughly 2.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Top Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.14 (This Top Systems L probability density function shows the probability of Top Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Top Systems L has a beta of -0.57. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Top Systems are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Top Systems L is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Top Systems L has an alpha of 0.2493, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Top Systems Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Top Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Systems L. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Top Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Top Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Top Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Top Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Top Systems L, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Top Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 47.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Top Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Top Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Top Systems L can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Top Systems L has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 37.15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 104.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Top Systems L has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Top Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Top Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Top Systems L sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Top to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Top Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Top Systems outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Top Systems Technical Analysis
Top Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Top Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Top Systems L. In general, you should focus on analyzing Top Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Top Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Top Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Top Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Top Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Top Systems L
Checking the ongoing alerts about Top Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Top Systems L help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Top Systems L has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 37.15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 104.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Top Systems L has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Top Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Top Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Top Systems L sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Top to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Top Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of Top Systems outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Top Systems Backtesting, Top Systems Valuation, Top Systems Correlation, Top Systems Hype Analysis, Top Systems Volatility, Top Systems History as well as Top Systems Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for Top Stock analysis
When running Top Systems' price analysis, check to measure Top Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Top Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Top Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Top Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Top Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Top Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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