Hostess Brands Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

TWNKW -- USA Stock  

null 1.66  0.02  1.22%

Hostess Brands probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Hostess Brands Inc Warrants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Hostess Brands time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hostess Brands odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Backtesting, Hostess Brands Valuation, Hostess Brands Correlation, Hostess Brands Hype Analysis, Hostess Brands Volatility, Hostess Brands History as well as Hostess Brands Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Hostess Brands Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 1.66 30 days 1.66  ABOUT 22.04%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Hostess Brands to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.04% (This Hostess Brands Inc Warrants probability density function shows the probability of Hostess Brands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Hostess Brands Inc Warrants has beta of -1.273 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Hostess Brands Inc Warrants are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Hostess Brands is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2852 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2852% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Hostess Brands Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.29
β
Beta against DOW=1.27
σ
Overall volatility
=0.1
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

Hostess Brands Alerts and Suggestions

Hostess Brands has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
Hostess Brands may become a speculative penny stock
Hostess Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has 987.68 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing

Hostess BrandsPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares97.05M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day40.69k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month54.39k
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