Hostess Brands Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

TWNKW -- USA Stock  

USD 1.27  0.03  2.31%

Hostess Brands probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Hostess Brands Inc Warrants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Hostess Brands time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hostess Brands odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Backtesting, Hostess Brands Valuation, Hostess Brands Correlation, Hostess Brands Hype Analysis, Hostess Brands Volatility, Hostess Brands History as well as Hostess Brands Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Hostess Brands Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 1.27 30 days 1.27  ABOUT 90.94%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Hostess Brands to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 90.94% (This Hostess Brands Inc Warrants probability density function shows the probability of Hostess Brands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Hostess Brands Inc Warrants has beta of -0.0264 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Hostess Brands are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Hostess Brands Inc Warrants is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hostess Brands Inc Warrants has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Hostess Brands Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.51
β
Beta against DOW=0.03
σ
Overall volatility
=0.05
Ir
Information ratio =0.14

Hostess Brands Alerts

Hostess Brands Alerts and Suggestions

Hostess Brands generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Hostess Brands may become a speculative penny stock
Hostess Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Backtesting, Hostess Brands Valuation, Hostess Brands Correlation, Hostess Brands Hype Analysis, Hostess Brands Volatility, Hostess Brands History as well as Hostess Brands Performance. Please also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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