Hostess Brands Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

TWNKW -- USA Stock  

USD 1.20  0.04  3.45%

Hostess Brands probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Hostess Brands Inc Warrants performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Hostess Brands time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hostess Brands odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Backtesting, Hostess Brands Valuation, Hostess Brands Correlation, Hostess Brands Hype Analysis, Hostess Brands Volatility, Hostess Brands History as well as Hostess Brands Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Hostess Brands Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 1.20 30 days 1.20  ABOUT 6.66%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Hostess Brands to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 6.66% (This Hostess Brands Inc Warrants probability density function shows the probability of Hostess Brands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Hostess Brands has beta of 0.7385 . This entails as returns on market go up, Hostess Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Hostess Brands Inc Warrants will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hostess Brands Inc Warrants has an alpha of 0.6612 implying that it can potentially generate 0.6612% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Hostess Brands Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.66
β
Beta against DOW=0.74
σ
Overall volatility
=0.11
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Hostess Brands Alerts

Hostess Brands Alerts and Suggestions

Hostess Brands appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
Hostess Brands may become a speculative penny stock
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Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Backtesting, Hostess Brands Valuation, Hostess Brands Correlation, Hostess Brands Hype Analysis, Hostess Brands Volatility, Hostess Brands History as well as Hostess Brands Performance. Please also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of macroaxis ideas.
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