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Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 27.27

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TWTR -- USA Stock  

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Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. This year Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 2.99. Also, this year Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 15.83.
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Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Additionally, take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 27.27

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 27.27  or more in 30 days
 25.27 30 days 27.27 
about 90.89
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to move over $ 27.27  or more in 30 days from now is about 90.89 (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between its current price of $ 25.27  and $ 27.27  at the end of the 30-day period is about 5.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Twitter has beta of 0.9541 . This entails Twitter market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Twitter is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0636 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0636% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.95
σ
Overall volatility
=4.04
Ir
Information ratio =0.016639

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Twitter has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.thestreet.com: Facebook Shares Must Do This Now - TheStreet

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.36%
Short Percent Of Float4.54%
Float Shares752.41M
Shares Short Prior Month27.86M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day28.1M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19.94M
Date Short InterestFebruary 28, 2020
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