Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 30.97

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TWTR -- USA Stock  

 Earnings Call  In Two Weeks

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Twitter Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Twitter reported last year Price to Book Value of 2.91. As of 07/03/2020, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 5.34, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (31.12) .

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Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Additionally, take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish below 30.97

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 30.97  after 30 days
 30.89 30 days 30.97 
about 60.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay under $ 30.97  after 30 days from now is about 60.54 (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between its current price of $ 30.89  and $ 30.97  at the end of the 30-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Twitter will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0857, implying that it can potentially generate 0.0857% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.24
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.038598

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Elon Musk taunts the SEC again amid surge in Tesla stock price - The Detroit News

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.30%
Short Percent Of Float4.92%
Float Shares764.67M
Shares Short Prior Month33.64M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.26M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month21.11M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2020
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