Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 31.775

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TWTR -- USA Stock  

 Earnings Call  In Two Weeks

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Twitter Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Twitter reported last year Price to Book Value of 2.91. As of 07/07/2020, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 5.34, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (31.12) .

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Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Additionally, take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 31.775

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 31.78  or more in 30 days
 30.89 30 days 31.78 
about 31.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to move over $ 31.78  or more in 30 days from now is about 31.02 (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between its current price of $ 30.89  and $ 31.78  at the end of the 30-day period is about 10.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Twitter has a beta of -0.1453. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Twitter are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Twitter is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.5945, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.59
β
Beta against DOW=-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
=3.19
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Heres the revenue hit Facebook will take as Diageo and Starbucks join the list of companies pulling ads from platform - MarketWatch

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out4.30%
Short Percent Of Float4.92%
Float Shares764.67M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day24.41M
Shares Short Prior Month33.64M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month21.68M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2020
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