Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 37.64

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 43.24  0.62  1.45%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 37.64

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 37.64  in 30 days
 43.24 30 days 37.64 
ABOUT 78.17%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay above $ 37.64  in 30 days from now is about 78.17% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 37.64  and its current price of $43.24 at the end of the 30-day period is about 64.42%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1621 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Twitter will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2191 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2191% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.22
β
Beta against DOW=1.16
σ
Overall volatility
=2.99
Ir
Information ratio =0.10

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investtribune.com: As Twitter INC Stock Rose, Parus Finance Uk LTD Has Cut Position by 24.46 Million - Invest Tribune

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.07%
Short Percent Of Float3.16%
Float Shares742.01M
Shares Short Prior Month23.64M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.43M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.07M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
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