Ucal Fuel (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    UCALFUEL -- India Stock  

    INR 176.90  0.25  0.14%

    Ucal Fuel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ucal Fuel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ucal Fuel odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Ucal Fuel Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     176.90 30 days 176.90  ABOUT 76.01%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ucal Fuel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 76.01% (This Ucal Fuel Systems Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ucal Fuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Ucal Fuel has beta of 0.2388 . This entails as returns on market go up, Ucal Fuel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ucal Fuel Systems Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Ucal Fuel Systems is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Ucal Fuel Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.22
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.24
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.93
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.2

    Ucal Fuel Alerts

    Ucal Fuel Alerts and Suggestions

    Ucal Fuel Systems is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Ucal Fuel Systems generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The company has Current Ratio of 0.7 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.

    Price Density Drivers

    Ucal Fuel Health Indicators

    Trailing Annual Dividend Rate10.00
    Float Shares6.24M
    Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day748
    Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.17k
    Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.70%
    Also please take a look at World Market Map. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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