Ucal Fuel (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

UCALFUEL -- India Stock  

INR 230.75  3.75  1.60%

Ucal Fuel probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ucal Fuel Systems Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ucal Fuel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ucal Fuel odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Ucal Fuel Backtesting, Ucal Fuel Valuation, Ucal Fuel Correlation, Ucal Fuel Hype Analysis, Ucal Fuel Volatility, Ucal Fuel History as well as Ucal Fuel Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ucal Fuel Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 230.75 30 days 230.75  ABOUT 37.78%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ucal Fuel to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 37.78% (This Ucal Fuel Systems Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ucal Fuel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Ucal Fuel Systems Limited has beta of -0.3757 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ucal Fuel are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Ucal Fuel Systems Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ucal Fuel Systems Limited has an alpha of 0.4164 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4164% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ucal Fuel Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.42
β
Beta against DOW=0.38
σ
Overall volatility
=10.54
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Ucal Fuel Alerts

Ucal Fuel Alerts and Suggestions

The company has Current Ratio of 0.7 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
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Also please take a look at Ucal Fuel Backtesting, Ucal Fuel Valuation, Ucal Fuel Correlation, Ucal Fuel Hype Analysis, Ucal Fuel Volatility, Ucal Fuel History as well as Ucal Fuel Performance. Please also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
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