UGARSUGAR Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#FF6600;color: #FFFAFA;font-size:4em;padding-top: 25px;;'>US</div>
UGARSUGAR -- India Stock  

INR 11.95  0.05  0.42%

UGAR SUGAR probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UGAR SUGAR WORKS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Search Price Probability

 
Refresh
Please specify UGAR SUGAR time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UGAR SUGAR odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
Apply Odds

UGAR SUGAR Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 11.95 30 days 11.95 
about 67.75
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UGAR SUGAR to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 67.75 (This UGAR SUGAR WORKS probability density function shows the probability of UGAR SUGAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UGAR SUGAR has beta of 0.0495 . This entails as returns on market go up, UGAR SUGAR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UGAR SUGAR WORKS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. UGAR SUGAR WORKS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 UGAR SUGAR Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.27
β
Beta against DOW=0.0495
σ
Overall volatility
=1.78
Ir
Information ratio =-0.03

UGAR SUGAR Alerts and Suggestions

UGAR SUGAR WORKS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
UGAR SUGAR WORKS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
UGAR SUGAR WORKS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 5.11 B in total debt. UGAR SUGAR WORKS has Current Ratio of 0.83 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.

UGAR SUGARPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Float Shares64.95M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day406.29k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month130.56k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.26%
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page