UGARSUGAR Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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UGARSUGAR -- India Stock  

INR 11.95  0.05  0.42%

UGAR SUGAR probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UGAR SUGAR WORKS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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UGAR SUGAR Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 11.95 30 days 11.95 
about 67.75
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UGAR SUGAR to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 67.75 (This UGAR SUGAR WORKS probability density function shows the probability of UGAR SUGAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UGAR SUGAR has beta of 0.0495 . This entails as returns on market go up, UGAR SUGAR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UGAR SUGAR WORKS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. UGAR SUGAR WORKS is significantly underperforming DOW.
 UGAR SUGAR Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.0495
Overall volatility
Information ratio =-0.03

UGAR SUGAR Alerts and Suggestions

UGAR SUGAR WORKS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
UGAR SUGAR WORKS generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
UGAR SUGAR WORKS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 5.11 B in total debt. UGAR SUGAR WORKS has Current Ratio of 0.83 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.

UGAR SUGARPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Float Shares64.95M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day406.29k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month130.56k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.26%
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