Ujjivan Financial (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

UJJIVAN -- India Stock  

INR 296.45  19.45  6.16%

Ujjivan Financial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ujjivan Financial Services Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ujjivan Financial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ujjivan Financial odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Ujjivan Financial Backtesting, Ujjivan Financial Valuation, Ujjivan Financial Correlation, Ujjivan Financial Hype Analysis, Ujjivan Financial Volatility, Ujjivan Financial History as well as Ujjivan Financial Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ujjivan Financial Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 296.45 30 days 296.45  CLOSE TO 99%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ujjivan Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Ujjivan Financial Services Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ujjivan Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Ujjivan Financial Services Limited has beta of -2.1885 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ujjivan Financial Services Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ujjivan Financial is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Ujjivan Financial Services Limited has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Ujjivan Financial Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.42
β
Beta against DOW=2.19
σ
Overall volatility
=17.44
Ir
Information ratio =0.41

Ujjivan Financial Alerts

Ujjivan Financial Alerts and Suggestions

Ujjivan Financial generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ujjivan Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated about 5.94 B in cash with (15.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 49.12.
Latest headline from www.outlookindia.com: Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. Stock Share Price Update With Analysis - September 6, 2018
Also please take a look at Ujjivan Financial Backtesting, Ujjivan Financial Valuation, Ujjivan Financial Correlation, Ujjivan Financial Hype Analysis, Ujjivan Financial Volatility, Ujjivan Financial History as well as Ujjivan Financial Performance. Please also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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