Ujjivan Financial (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

UJJIVAN -- India Stock  

INR 274.70  4.00  1.48%

Ujjivan Financial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ujjivan Financial Services Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ujjivan Financial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ujjivan Financial odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ujjivan Financial Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 274.70 30 days 274.70  UNDER 4%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ujjivan Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is under 4% (This Ujjivan Financial Services Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ujjivan Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Ujjivan Financial Services Limited has beta of -0.2435 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ujjivan Financial are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Ujjivan Financial Services Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ujjivan Financial Services Limited has an alpha of 0.4564 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4564% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ujjivan Financial Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.46
β
Beta against DOW=0.24
σ
Overall volatility
=22.64
Ir
Information ratio =0.13

Ujjivan Financial Alerts

Ujjivan Financial Alerts and Suggestions

Ujjivan Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Ujjivan Financial appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
Ujjivan Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has accumulated about 5.47B in cash with (15.11B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 45.27.

Price Density Drivers

Ujjivan Financial Health Indicators

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
Float Shares64.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day216.35k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month212.08k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.20%
Also please take a look at World Market Map. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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