Ujjivan Financial (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    UJJIVAN -- India Stock  

    INR 211.10  6.40  2.94%

    Ujjivan Financial probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ujjivan Financial Services Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ujjivan Financial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ujjivan Financial odds to be computed. Also please take a look at World Market Map.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Ujjivan Financial Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     211.10 30 days 211.10  ABOUT 78.55%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ujjivan Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 78.55% (This Ujjivan Financial Services Limited probability density function shows the probability of Ujjivan Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Ujjivan Financial has beta of 0.5181 . This entails as returns on market go up, Ujjivan Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Ujjivan Financial Services Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ujjivan Financial Services Limited has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Ujjivan Financial Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.5
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.52
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =19.67
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.08

    Ujjivan Financial Alerts

    Ujjivan Financial Alerts and Suggestions

    Ujjivan Financial is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Ujjivan Financial generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Ujjivan Financial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    Ujjivan Financial has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
    The company has accumulated about 5.47 B in cash with (15.11 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 45.27.

    Price Density Drivers

    Ujjivan Financial Health Indicators

    Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.50
    Float Shares64.3M
    Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day99.72k
    Average Daily Volume In Three Month153.86k
    Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.24%
    Also please take a look at World Market Map. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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