United Overseas Bank Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 35.88

UOVEY Stock  USD 43.24  0.06  0.14%   
United Overseas' future price is the expected price of United Overseas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Overseas Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Overseas Backtesting, United Overseas Valuation, United Overseas Correlation, United Overseas Hype Analysis, United Overseas Volatility, United Overseas History as well as United Overseas Performance.
  
Please specify United Overseas' target price for which you would like United Overseas odds to be computed.

United Overseas Target Price Odds to finish over 35.88

The tendency of United Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 35.88  in 90 days
 43.24 90 days 35.88 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Overseas to stay above $ 35.88  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This United Overseas Bank probability density function shows the probability of United Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Overseas Bank price to stay between $ 35.88  and its current price of $43.24 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.48 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon United Overseas Bank has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding United Overseas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, United Overseas Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0901, implying that it can generate a 0.0901 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   United Overseas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Overseas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Overseas Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Overseas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of United Overseas in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.5843.4644.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.1436.0247.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.3844.2645.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.8242.6843.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Overseas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Overseas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Overseas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United Overseas Bank.

United Overseas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Overseas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Overseas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Overseas Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Overseas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

United Overseas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Overseas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Overseas Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Overseas Bank has accumulated about 91.6 B in cash with (2.81 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 109.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: UiPath turns negative even as Wall Street sings praise following Q4 results, guidance

United Overseas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Overseas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Overseas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding838.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.9 B

United Overseas Technical Analysis

United Overseas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Overseas Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Overseas Predictive Forecast Models

United Overseas' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Overseas' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Overseas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Overseas Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Overseas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Overseas Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Overseas Bank has accumulated about 91.6 B in cash with (2.81 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 109.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: UiPath turns negative even as Wall Street sings praise following Q4 results, guidance
Check out United Overseas Backtesting, United Overseas Valuation, United Overseas Correlation, United Overseas Hype Analysis, United Overseas Volatility, United Overseas History as well as United Overseas Performance.
Note that the United Overseas Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Overseas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for United Pink Sheet analysis

When running United Overseas' price analysis, check to measure United Overseas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Overseas is operating at the current time. Most of United Overseas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Overseas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Overseas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Overseas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Overseas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Overseas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Overseas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.