AXA SA 86 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 146.86

054536AA5 -  USA Bond  

 146.86  1.21  0.82%

054536AA5's future price is the expected price of 054536AA5 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AXA SA 86 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

054536AA5 Price Probability 

 
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Also, please take a look at 054536AA5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 054536AA5 Correlation, 054536AA5 Hype Analysis, 054536AA5 Volatility, 054536AA5 History as well as 054536AA5 Performance. Please specify 054536AA5 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 054536AA5 odds to be computed.
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054536AA5 Target Price Odds to finish over 146.86

The tendency of 054536AA5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 146.86 90 days 146.86  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 054536AA5 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AXA SA 86 probability density function shows the probability of 054536AA5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AXA SA 86 has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 054536AA5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, AXA SA 86 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. AXA SA 86 is significantly underperforming DOW.
 054536AA5 Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for 054536AA5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXA SA 86. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of 054536AA5's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of 054536AA5 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
146.20146.86147.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
128.39129.05161.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 054536AA5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 054536AA5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 054536AA5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AXA SA 86.

054536AA5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 054536AA5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 054536AA5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AXA SA 86, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 054536AA5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

054536AA5 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 054536AA5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AXA SA 86 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AXA SA 86 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

054536AA5 Technical Analysis

054536AA5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 054536AA5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AXA SA 86. In general, you should focus on analyzing 054536AA5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

054536AA5 Predictive Forecast Models

054536AA5 time-series forecasting models is one of many 054536AA5's bond analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary 054536AA5's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AXA SA 86

Checking the ongoing alerts about 054536AA5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AXA SA 86 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

054536AA5 Alerts

054536AA5 Alerts and Suggestions

AXA SA 86 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Also, please take a look at 054536AA5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 054536AA5 Correlation, 054536AA5 Hype Analysis, 054536AA5 Volatility, 054536AA5 History as well as 054536AA5 Performance. Note that the AXA SA 86 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other 054536AA5's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for 054536AA5 Bond analysis

When running AXA SA 86 price analysis, check to measure 054536AA5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 054536AA5 is operating at the current time. Most of 054536AA5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 054536AA5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 054536AA5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 054536AA5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between 054536AA5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine 054536AA5 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 054536AA5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.