User Trend (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

USER-M -- Israel Stock  

ILS 430.40  18.50  4.12%

User Trend probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of User Trend Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify User Trend time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like User Trend odds to be computed. Also please take a look at User Trend Backtesting, User Trend Valuation, User Trend Correlation, User Trend Hype Analysis, User Trend Volatility, User Trend History as well as User Trend Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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User Trend Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 430.40 30 days 430.40  ABOUT 99.0%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of User Trend to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 99.0% (This User Trend Ltd probability density function shows the probability of User Trend Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, User Trend has beta of 0.2621 . This entails as returns on market go up, User Trend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding User Trend Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally User Trend Ltd has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 User Trend Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=1.16
β
Beta against DOW=0.26
σ
Overall volatility
=115.22
Ir
Information ratio =0.2

User Trend Alerts

User Trend Alerts and Suggestions

User Trend Ltd generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
User Trend Ltd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported revenue of (34K). Net Loss for the year was (1.24M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 844K.
USER TREND has accumulated about 190K in cash with (1.05M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.

Price Density Drivers

User Trend Health Indicators

Float Shares1.83M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5
Also please take a look at User Trend Backtesting, User Trend Valuation, User Trend Correlation, User Trend Hype Analysis, User Trend Volatility, User Trend History as well as User Trend Performance. Please also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
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