Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

V -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 179.74 30 days 179.74 
about 19.36
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.36 (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of 0.9446 . This entails Visa market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Visa is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Visa is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Visa Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.06
β
Beta against DOW=0.94
σ
Overall volatility
=3.03
Ir
Information ratio =0.05

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from nysenewsanalyst.com: What Everybody Ought to Know About these Visa Inc , - NyseNewsAnalyst

VisaPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.41%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.05
Short Percent Of Float1.79%
Float Shares1.7B
Shares Short Prior Month28.51M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.22M
Date Short InterestOctober 15, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.59%
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