Victory Supermarket (Israel) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

VCTR -- Israel Stock  

ILS 4,171  8.00  0.19%

Victory Supermarket probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Victory Supermarket time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Victory Supermarket odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Victory Supermarket Backtesting, Victory Supermarket Valuation, Victory Supermarket Correlation, Victory Supermarket Hype Analysis, Victory Supermarket Volatility, Victory Supermarket History as well as Victory Supermarket Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Victory Supermarket Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 4,171 30 days 4,171  ABOUT 75.83%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Supermarket to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 75.83% (This Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Victory Supermarket Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd has beta of -0.2051 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Victory Supermarket are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Victory Supermarket Chain Ltd has an alpha of 0.0419 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0419% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Victory Supermarket Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.04195
β
Beta against DOW=0.21
σ
Overall volatility
=74.84
Ir
Information ratio =0.17

Victory Supermarket Alerts

Victory Supermarket Alerts and Suggestions

Victory Supermarket generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
On August 29, 2018 Victory Supermarket paid S 104.003 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Also please take a look at Victory Supermarket Backtesting, Victory Supermarket Valuation, Victory Supermarket Correlation, Victory Supermarket Hype Analysis, Victory Supermarket Volatility, Victory Supermarket History as well as Victory Supermarket Performance. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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