Victory Supermarket (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4292.0
| VCTR Stock | ILA 4,795 71.00 1.46% |
Victory |
Victory Supermarket Target Price Odds to finish below 4292.0
The tendency of Victory Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4,292 or more in 90 days |
| 4,795 | 90 days | 4,292 | about 62.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Supermarket to drop to 4,292 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.85 (This Victory Supermarket Chain probability density function shows the probability of Victory Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Supermarket Chain price to stay between 4,292 and its current price of 4795.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Victory Supermarket has a beta of 0.46. This entails as returns on the market go up, Victory Supermarket average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Victory Supermarket Chain will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Victory Supermarket Chain has an alpha of 0.5111, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Victory Supermarket Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Victory Supermarket
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Supermarket Chain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Supermarket's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Supermarket Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Supermarket is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Supermarket's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Supermarket Chain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Supermarket within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 444.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Victory Supermarket Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Supermarket for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Supermarket Chain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Victory Supermarket Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Victory Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Victory Supermarket's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victory Supermarket's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.4 M |
Victory Supermarket Technical Analysis
Victory Supermarket's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Supermarket Chain. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Supermarket Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Supermarket's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Supermarket's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Supermarket's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Supermarket Chain
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Supermarket for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Supermarket Chain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Victory Supermarket Backtesting, Victory Supermarket Valuation, Victory Supermarket Correlation, Victory Supermarket Hype Analysis, Victory Supermarket Volatility, Victory Supermarket History as well as Victory Supermarket Performance. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Victory Stock analysis
When running Victory Supermarket's price analysis, check to measure Victory Supermarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Supermarket is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Supermarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Supermarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Supermarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Supermarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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