Vipul Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

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VIPULORG -- India Stock  

INR 93.20  1.80  1.89%

Vipul Organics probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vipul Organics Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Vipul Organics Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 93.20 30 days 93.20 
about 86.7
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vipul Organics to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 86.7 (This Vipul Organics Limited probability density function shows the probability of Vipul Organics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vipul Organics has beta of 0.1552 . This entails as returns on market go up, Vipul Organics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Vipul Organics Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Vipul Organics is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Vipul Organics Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=-0.53
β
Beta against DOW=0.16
σ
Overall volatility
=24.98
Ir
Information ratio =-0.07

Vipul Organics Alerts and Suggestions

Vipul Organics is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vipul Organics generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Vipul Organics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has 180.16 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing

Vipul OrganicsPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Float Shares1.98M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day627
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.59k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.75%
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