Vanguard Index Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 41.40

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VIVIX -- USA Fund  

USD 46.40  0.31  0.67%

Vanguard Index probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard Index Trust Vanguard V performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard Index time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard Index odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Vanguard Index Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Index Correlation, Vanguard Index Hype Analysis, Vanguard Index Volatility, Vanguard Index History as well as Vanguard Index Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Vanguard Index Target Price Odds to finish below 41.40

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 41.40  or more in 30 days
 46.40 30 days 41.40 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Index to drop to $ 41.40  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Index Trust Vanguard V probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Index Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Vanguard Index Trust price to stay between $ 41.40  and its current price of $46.4 at the end of the 30-day period is about 64.86 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard Index has beta of 0.2273 . This entails as returns on market go up, Vanguard Index average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Index Trust Vanguard V will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0387 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0387% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Vanguard Index Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.038732
β
Beta against DOW=0.23
σ
Overall volatility
=0.81
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

Vanguard Index Alerts and Suggestions

On December 23, 2019 Vanguard Index paid $ 0.355 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Vanguard Index Trust keeps 99.85% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard IndexPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.87
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.09%