Vanguard New Jersey Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.39

VNJTX Fund  USD 11.39  0.01  0.09%   
Vanguard New's future price is the expected price of Vanguard New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard New Jersey performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard New Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard New Correlation, Vanguard New Hype Analysis, Vanguard New Volatility, Vanguard New History as well as Vanguard New Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard New's target price for which you would like Vanguard New odds to be computed.

Vanguard New Target Price Odds to finish over 11.39

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.39 90 days 11.39 
about 57.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard New to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.89 (This Vanguard New Jersey probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard New has a beta of 0.0777. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard New Jersey will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard New Jersey has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Vanguard New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard New Jersey. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1911.3911.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1911.3911.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1711.3711.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3811.4411.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard New Jersey.

Vanguard New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard New Jersey, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.69

Vanguard New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard New Jersey can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard New Jersey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Vanguard New Jersey keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.

Vanguard New Technical Analysis

Vanguard New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard New Jersey. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard New Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard New's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard New Jersey

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard New Jersey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard New Jersey generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Vanguard New Jersey keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments.
Check out Vanguard New Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard New Correlation, Vanguard New Hype Analysis, Vanguard New Volatility, Vanguard New History as well as Vanguard New Performance.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

Complementary Tools for Vanguard Mutual Fund analysis

When running Vanguard New's price analysis, check to measure Vanguard New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard New is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.