Vanguard Total Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.07
VTBIX Fund | USD 9.44 0.02 0.21% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Total Target Price Odds to finish over 12.07
The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.07 or more in 90 days |
9.44 | 90 days | 12.07 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Total to move over $ 12.07 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Vanguard Total Bond probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Total Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 9.44 and $ 12.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total has a beta of 0.26. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Total average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Total Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Total Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. Vanguard Total Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Total Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Total Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Vanguard Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Total Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Vanguard Total Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutual funds post net inflows for first time in two years - Citywire Professional Buyer | |
The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
Vanguard Total Bond keeps about 97.04% of its net assets in bonds |
Vanguard Total Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Total's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Total's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Total Technical Analysis
Vanguard Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Total Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Total Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Total Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Total Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutual funds post net inflows for first time in two years - Citywire Professional Buyer | |
The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
Vanguard Total Bond keeps about 97.04% of its net assets in bonds |
Check out Vanguard Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Hype Analysis, Vanguard Total Volatility, Vanguard Total History as well as Vanguard Total Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Vanguard Mutual Fund analysis
When running Vanguard Total's price analysis, check to measure Vanguard Total's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard Total is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard Total's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard Total's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard Total's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard Total to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume |