Ventas Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.63

VTR Stock  USD 43.63  1.28  3.02%   
Ventas' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ventas Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ventas based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ventas Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $42.5 is a CALL option contract on Ventas' common stock with a strick price of 42.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:18:29 for $1.2 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.35, and an ask price of $1.6. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 18.02. View All Ventas options

Closest to current price Ventas long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Ventas' future price is the expected price of Ventas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ventas Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ventas Backtesting, Ventas Valuation, Ventas Correlation, Ventas Hype Analysis, Ventas Volatility, Ventas History as well as Ventas Performance.
  
At this time, Ventas' Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/28/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 2.22, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 11.49. Please specify Ventas' target price for which you would like Ventas odds to be computed.

Ventas Target Price Odds to finish over 43.63

The tendency of Ventas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.63 90 days 43.63 
about 80.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ventas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.52 (This Ventas Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ventas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ventas will likely underperform. Additionally Ventas Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Ventas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ventas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ventas Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ventas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0443.6045.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2747.5149.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.0342.6044.16
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ventas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ventas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ventas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ventas Inc.

Ventas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ventas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ventas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ventas Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ventas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Ventas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ventas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ventas Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ventas Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 13.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.16, which is OK given its current industry classification. Ventas Inc has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Ventas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ventas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ventas Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ventas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ventas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.5 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.81 B.
Ventas Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of Ventas outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTR News Today Why did Ventas stock go up today - MarketBeat

Ventas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ventas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ventas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ventas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding401.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments563.5 M

Ventas Technical Analysis

Ventas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ventas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ventas Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ventas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ventas Predictive Forecast Models

Ventas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ventas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ventas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ventas Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ventas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ventas Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ventas Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 13.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.16, which is OK given its current industry classification. Ventas Inc has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Ventas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ventas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ventas Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ventas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ventas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.5 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.81 B.
Ventas Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of Ventas outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: VTR News Today Why did Ventas stock go up today - MarketBeat
When determining whether Ventas Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ventas' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ventas' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ventas Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Ventas Stock analysis

When running Ventas' price analysis, check to measure Ventas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ventas is operating at the current time. Most of Ventas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ventas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ventas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ventas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ventas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ventas. If investors know Ventas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ventas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
(0.08)
Revenue Per Share
11.199
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.135
The market value of Ventas Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ventas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ventas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ventas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ventas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ventas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ventas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ventas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ventas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.