Weibo Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.87

WB Stock  USD 9.09  0.41  4.32%   
Weibo Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Weibo Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Weibo Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Weibo Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $9.0 is a CALL option contract on Weibo Corp's common stock with a strick price of 9.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:39 for $0.45 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.4, and an ask price of $0.55. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 110.16. View All Weibo options

Closest to current price Weibo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Weibo Corp's future price is the expected price of Weibo Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Weibo Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Weibo Corp Backtesting, Weibo Corp Valuation, Weibo Corp Correlation, Weibo Corp Hype Analysis, Weibo Corp Volatility, Weibo Corp History as well as Weibo Corp Performance.
For information on how to trade Weibo Stock refer to our How to Trade Weibo Stock guide.
  
At present, Weibo Corp's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 7.53, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.39. Please specify Weibo Corp's target price for which you would like Weibo Corp odds to be computed.

Weibo Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 43.87

The tendency of Weibo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 43.87  after 90 days
 9.09 90 days 43.87 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weibo Corp to stay under $ 43.87  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Weibo Corp probability density function shows the probability of Weibo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weibo Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 9.09  and $ 43.87  at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.53 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.37 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Weibo Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Weibo Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Weibo Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Weibo Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weibo Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weibo Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.219.4912.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5511.8315.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.239.5212.80
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4719.2021.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Weibo Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Weibo Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Weibo Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Weibo Corp.

Weibo Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weibo Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weibo Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weibo Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weibo Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Weibo Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weibo Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weibo Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weibo Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Weibo Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Weibo Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Weibo Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Weibo Corporations Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Weibo Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weibo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weibo Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weibo Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding240 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.2 B

Weibo Corp Technical Analysis

Weibo Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weibo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weibo Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weibo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Weibo Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Weibo Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Weibo Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weibo Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Weibo Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Weibo Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weibo Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Weibo Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Weibo Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Weibo Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Weibo Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Weibo Corporations Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
When determining whether Weibo Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Weibo Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Weibo Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Weibo Corp Stock:
Check out Weibo Corp Backtesting, Weibo Corp Valuation, Weibo Corp Correlation, Weibo Corp Hype Analysis, Weibo Corp Volatility, Weibo Corp History as well as Weibo Corp Performance.
For information on how to trade Weibo Stock refer to our How to Trade Weibo Stock guide.
Note that the Weibo Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Weibo Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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When running Weibo Corp's price analysis, check to measure Weibo Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weibo Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Weibo Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weibo Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weibo Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weibo Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Weibo Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weibo Corp. If investors know Weibo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weibo Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.43)
Earnings Share
1.69
Revenue Per Share
7.471
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.041
The market value of Weibo Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weibo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weibo Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weibo Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weibo Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weibo Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weibo Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weibo Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weibo Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.