Willy Food (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1813.9

WLFD Stock  ILA 2,021  96.00  4.99%   
Willy Food's future price is the expected price of Willy Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Willy Food performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Willy Food Backtesting, Willy Food Valuation, Willy Food Correlation, Willy Food Hype Analysis, Willy Food Volatility, Willy Food History as well as Willy Food Performance.
  
Please specify Willy Food's target price for which you would like Willy Food odds to be computed.

Willy Food Target Price Odds to finish over 1813.9

The tendency of Willy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  1,814  in 90 days
 2,021 90 days 1,814 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Willy Food to stay above  1,814  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Willy Food probability density function shows the probability of Willy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Willy Food price to stay between  1,814  and its current price of 2021.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Willy Food has a beta of 0.4. This entails as returns on the market go up, Willy Food average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Willy Food will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Willy Food has an alpha of 0.0735, implying that it can generate a 0.0735 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Willy Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Willy Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Willy Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Willy Food's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0192,0212,023
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0072,0092,223
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,0812,0832,085
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,8071,9432,078
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Willy Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Willy Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Willy Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Willy Food.

Willy Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Willy Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Willy Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Willy Food, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Willy Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.40
σ
Overall volatility
71.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Willy Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Willy Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Willy Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Willy Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Willy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Willy Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Willy Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate6.01
Shares Float4.6 M

Willy Food Technical Analysis

Willy Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Willy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Willy Food. In general, you should focus on analyzing Willy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Willy Food Predictive Forecast Models

Willy Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Willy Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Willy Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Willy Food

Checking the ongoing alerts about Willy Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Willy Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Willy Food Backtesting, Willy Food Valuation, Willy Food Correlation, Willy Food Hype Analysis, Willy Food Volatility, Willy Food History as well as Willy Food Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Willy Stock analysis

When running Willy Food's price analysis, check to measure Willy Food's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Willy Food is operating at the current time. Most of Willy Food's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Willy Food's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Willy Food's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Willy Food to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Willy Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Willy Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Willy Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.