WhiteSmoke Software (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0

WSMK Stock  ILA 167.50  8.30  4.72%   
WhiteSmoke Software's future price is the expected price of WhiteSmoke Software instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WhiteSmoke Software performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WhiteSmoke Software Backtesting, WhiteSmoke Software Valuation, WhiteSmoke Software Correlation, WhiteSmoke Software Hype Analysis, WhiteSmoke Software Volatility, WhiteSmoke Software History as well as WhiteSmoke Software Performance.
  
Please specify WhiteSmoke Software's target price for which you would like WhiteSmoke Software odds to be computed.

WhiteSmoke Software Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0

The tendency of WhiteSmoke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 167.50 90 days 0.00 
about 6.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WhiteSmoke Software to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.91 (This WhiteSmoke Software probability density function shows the probability of WhiteSmoke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WhiteSmoke Software price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 167.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WhiteSmoke Software has a beta of -1.35. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding WhiteSmoke Software are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, WhiteSmoke Software is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that WhiteSmoke Software has an alpha of 3.3517, implying that it can generate a 3.35 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WhiteSmoke Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WhiteSmoke Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WhiteSmoke Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WhiteSmoke Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
153.00167.50182.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.76114.26184.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
197.80212.29226.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
164.09171.07178.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WhiteSmoke Software. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WhiteSmoke Software's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WhiteSmoke Software's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WhiteSmoke Software.

WhiteSmoke Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WhiteSmoke Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WhiteSmoke Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WhiteSmoke Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WhiteSmoke Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
3.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.35
σ
Overall volatility
38.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

WhiteSmoke Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WhiteSmoke Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WhiteSmoke Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WhiteSmoke Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WhiteSmoke Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WhiteSmoke Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WhiteSmoke Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WhiteSmoke Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WhiteSmoke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WhiteSmoke Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
WhiteSmoke Software reported the revenue of 536 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 378 K.
WhiteSmoke Software has accumulated about 1.59 M in cash with (130 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

WhiteSmoke Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WhiteSmoke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WhiteSmoke Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WhiteSmoke Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0276
Shares Float13.3 M

WhiteSmoke Software Technical Analysis

WhiteSmoke Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WhiteSmoke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WhiteSmoke Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing WhiteSmoke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WhiteSmoke Software Predictive Forecast Models

WhiteSmoke Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many WhiteSmoke Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WhiteSmoke Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WhiteSmoke Software

Checking the ongoing alerts about WhiteSmoke Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WhiteSmoke Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WhiteSmoke Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon
WhiteSmoke Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WhiteSmoke Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WhiteSmoke Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WhiteSmoke Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WhiteSmoke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WhiteSmoke Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
WhiteSmoke Software reported the revenue of 536 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 378 K.
WhiteSmoke Software has accumulated about 1.59 M in cash with (130 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04.
Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Complementary Tools for WhiteSmoke Stock analysis

When running WhiteSmoke Software's price analysis, check to measure WhiteSmoke Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WhiteSmoke Software is operating at the current time. Most of WhiteSmoke Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WhiteSmoke Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WhiteSmoke Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WhiteSmoke Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Please note, there is a significant difference between WhiteSmoke Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WhiteSmoke Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WhiteSmoke Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.