Xact Kapitalforvaltni (Denmark) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 196.30

XACTC25 Etf  DKK 196.30  0.80  0.41%   
Xact Kapitalforvaltni's future price is the expected price of Xact Kapitalforvaltni instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xact Kapitalforvaltning performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xact Kapitalforvaltni Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Correlation, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Hype Analysis, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Volatility, Xact Kapitalforvaltni History as well as Xact Kapitalforvaltni Performance.
  
Please specify Xact Kapitalforvaltni's target price for which you would like Xact Kapitalforvaltni odds to be computed.

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Target Price Odds to finish over 196.30

The tendency of Xact Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 196.30 90 days 196.30 
about 59.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xact Kapitalforvaltni to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.41 (This Xact Kapitalforvaltning probability density function shows the probability of Xact Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xact Kapitalforvaltning has a beta of -0.0828. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xact Kapitalforvaltni are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xact Kapitalforvaltning is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xact Kapitalforvaltning has an alpha of 0.0265, implying that it can generate a 0.0265 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xact Kapitalforvaltni Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xact Kapitalforvaltni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xact Kapitalforvaltning. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xact Kapitalforvaltni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.64196.30196.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
194.84195.50215.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
194.73195.39196.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
192.95199.44205.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xact Kapitalforvaltni. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xact Kapitalforvaltni's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xact Kapitalforvaltni's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xact Kapitalforvaltning.

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xact Kapitalforvaltni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xact Kapitalforvaltni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xact Kapitalforvaltning, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xact Kapitalforvaltni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
4.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xact Kapitalforvaltni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xact Kapitalforvaltning can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.53% of its net assets in stocks

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xact Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xact Kapitalforvaltni's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xact Kapitalforvaltni's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day78.47k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month45.61k

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Technical Analysis

Xact Kapitalforvaltni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xact Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xact Kapitalforvaltning. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xact Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xact Kapitalforvaltni Predictive Forecast Models

Xact Kapitalforvaltni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xact Kapitalforvaltni's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xact Kapitalforvaltni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xact Kapitalforvaltning

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xact Kapitalforvaltni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xact Kapitalforvaltning help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.53% of its net assets in stocks
Check out Xact Kapitalforvaltni Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Correlation, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Hype Analysis, Xact Kapitalforvaltni Volatility, Xact Kapitalforvaltni History as well as Xact Kapitalforvaltni Performance.
Note that the Xact Kapitalforvaltning information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xact Kapitalforvaltni's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xact Kapitalforvaltni's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xact Kapitalforvaltni is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xact Kapitalforvaltni's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.