Stone Harbor Emerging Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.34
| XEDFX Fund | USD 4.55 0.06 1.30% |
Stone |
Stone Harbor Target Price Odds to finish over 11.34
The tendency of Stone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.34 or more in 90 days |
| 4.55 | 90 days | 11.34 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stone Harbor to move over $ 11.34 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Stone Harbor Emerging probability density function shows the probability of Stone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stone Harbor Emerging price to stay between its current price of $ 4.55 and $ 11.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stone Harbor has a beta of 0.0342. This entails as returns on the market go up, Stone Harbor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stone Harbor Emerging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stone Harbor Emerging has an alpha of 0.0342, implying that it can generate a 0.0342 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Stone Harbor Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stone Harbor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stone Harbor Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stone Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stone Harbor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stone Harbor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stone Harbor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stone Harbor Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stone Harbor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Stone Harbor Technical Analysis
Stone Harbor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stone Harbor Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stone Harbor Predictive Forecast Models
Stone Harbor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stone Harbor's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stone Harbor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Stone Harbor in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Stone Harbor's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Stone Harbor options trading.
Check out Stone Harbor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stone Harbor Correlation, Stone Harbor Hype Analysis, Stone Harbor Volatility, Stone Harbor History as well as Stone Harbor Performance. Note that the Stone Harbor Emerging information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stone Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stone Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stone Harbor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stone Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.