Invesco Trust Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    XVTNX -- USA Fund  

    USD 13.79  0.00  0.00%

    Invesco Trust probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Invesco Trust for Investment Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Invesco Trust time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Trust odds to be computed. See also Your Current Watchlist.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Invesco Trust Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.79 30 days 13.79  ABOUT 31.11%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Trust to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.11% (This Invesco Trust for Investment Gr probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Trust Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Invesco Trust for Investment Gr has beta of -0.0209 . This means as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Invesco Trust are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Invesco Trust for Investment Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0389 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0389% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Invesco Trust Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.038936
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.11
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.23

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