Invesco Trust Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

XVTNX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.79  0.02  0.14%

Invesco Trust probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Invesco Trust for Investment Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Invesco Trust time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Trust odds to be computed. See also Invesco Trust Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Trust Correlation, Invesco Trust Hype Analysis, Invesco Trust Volatility, Invesco Trust History as well as Invesco Trust Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Invesco Trust Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 13.79 30 days 13.79  OVER 95.16%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Trust to move above current price in 30 days from now is over 95.16% (This Invesco Trust for Investment Gr probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Trust Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Invesco Trust has beta of 0.023 . This means as returns on market go up, Invesco Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Trust for Investment Gr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Trust for Investment Gr has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Invesco Trust Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.1
β
Beta against DOW=0.023
σ
Overall volatility
=0.1
Ir
Information ratio =2.25

Invesco Trust Technical Analysis

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