Zebra Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 197.86

ZBRA Stock  USD 277.53  0.97  0.35%   
Zebra Technologies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Zebra Technologies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Zebra Technologies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Zebra Technologies over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $280.0 is a CALL option contract on Zebra Technologies' common stock with a strick price of 280.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-22 at 15:43:17 for $11.6 and, as of today, has 23 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $12.4, and an ask price of $13.2. The implied volatility as of the 25th of April is 50.41. View All Zebra options

Closest to current price Zebra long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Zebra Technologies' future price is the expected price of Zebra Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zebra Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zebra Technologies Backtesting, Zebra Technologies Valuation, Zebra Technologies Correlation, Zebra Technologies Hype Analysis, Zebra Technologies Volatility, Zebra Technologies History as well as Zebra Technologies Performance.
For information on how to trade Zebra Stock refer to our How to Trade Zebra Stock guide.
  
At present, Zebra Technologies' Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 5.92, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 27.29. Please specify Zebra Technologies' target price for which you would like Zebra Technologies odds to be computed.

Zebra Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 197.86

The tendency of Zebra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 197.86  or more in 90 days
 277.53 90 days 197.86 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zebra Technologies to drop to $ 197.86  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Zebra Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Zebra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zebra Technologies price to stay between $ 197.86  and its current price of $277.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.21 . This usually means as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Zebra Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Zebra Technologies has an alpha of 0.0065, implying that it can generate a 0.00647 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zebra Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zebra Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zebra Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zebra Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
275.46277.91280.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
264.16266.61305.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
254.45256.90259.36
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
257.93283.44314.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zebra Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zebra Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zebra Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zebra Technologies.

Zebra Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zebra Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zebra Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zebra Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zebra Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.21
σ
Overall volatility
30.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Zebra Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zebra Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zebra Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.41 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Zebra Technologies has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Zebra Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zebra Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zebra Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zebra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zebra Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Zebra Technologies currently holds about 99 M in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.92.
Over 95.0% of Zebra Technologies outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
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Zebra Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zebra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zebra Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zebra Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments138 M

Zebra Technologies Technical Analysis

Zebra Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zebra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zebra Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zebra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zebra Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Zebra Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Zebra Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zebra Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zebra Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zebra Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zebra Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company currently holds 2.41 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Zebra Technologies has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Zebra Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zebra Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zebra Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zebra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zebra Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Zebra Technologies currently holds about 99 M in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.92.
Over 95.0% of Zebra Technologies outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
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When determining whether Zebra Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Zebra Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zebra Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zebra Technologies Stock:

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When running Zebra Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Zebra Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zebra Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Zebra Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zebra Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zebra Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zebra Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Zebra Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zebra Technologies. If investors know Zebra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zebra Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Earnings Share
5.72
Revenue Per Share
89.221
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.33)
Return On Assets
0.0493
The market value of Zebra Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zebra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zebra Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zebra Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zebra Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zebra Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zebra Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zebra Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zebra Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.