Amtran Technology Co Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

2489 Stock  TWD 14.25  0.15  1.04%   
Amtran Technology's likelihood of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small risk of experiencing financial crisis in the next few years. Amtran Technology's Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Amtran Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Amtran balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amtran Technology Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Amtran Technology Co Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Amtran Technology's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Amtran Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 42%  
Most of Amtran Technology's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Amtran Technology Co is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Amtran Technology probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Amtran Technology odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Amtran Technology Co financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amtran Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amtran Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amtran Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Amtran Technology Co has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Household Durables average (which is currently at 42.58) sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Taiwan stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.

Amtran Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Amtran Technology's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Amtran Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amtran Technology by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Amtran Technology is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Amtran Fundamentals

About Amtran Technology Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Amtran Technology Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Amtran Technology using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amtran Technology Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amtran Technology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amtran Technology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amtran Technology options trading.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Amtran Technology Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running Amtran Technology's price analysis, check to measure Amtran Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amtran Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Amtran Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amtran Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amtran Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amtran Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Amtran Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amtran Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amtran Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.