Applied Probability Of Bankruptcy

A59 -  Germany Stock  

EUR 5.80  0.15  2.52%

Applied Optoelectronics Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Applied Optoelectronics Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Applied Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Applied balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please continue to Applied Optoelectronics Piotroski F Score and Applied Optoelectronics Altman Z Score analysis.

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Applied Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Applied Optoelectronics Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  77%  
Most of Applied Optoelectronics' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Applied Optoelectronics Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Applied Optoelectronics probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Applied Optoelectronics odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Applied Optoelectronics Inc financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Optoelectronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Applied Optoelectronics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Optoelectronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Applied Optoelectronics Inc has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 77%. This is 90.31% higher than that of the Technology sector and 129.99% higher than that of the Semiconductors industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is 93.32% lower than that of the firm.
  Chance Of Financial Distress
Over 75
Applied Optoelectronics Inc has more than 75 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Applied Optoelectronics stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Applied Fundamentals

About Applied Optoelectronics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Applied Optoelectronics Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Applied Optoelectronics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied Optoelectronics Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various fiber-optic networking products worldwide. Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. Applied Optoelectronics operates under Semiconductors classification in Germany and is traded on Stuttgart Stock Exchange. It employs 2682 people.

Applied Optoelectronics Investors Sentiment

The influence of Applied Optoelectronics' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Applied. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - A59

Applied Optoelectronics Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in Applied Optoelectronics Inc. What is your sentiment towards investing in Applied Optoelectronics Inc? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Pair Trading with Applied Optoelectronics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Applied Optoelectronics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Applied Optoelectronics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Applied Optoelectronics Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Applied Optoelectronics and XTR LEVDAX DA. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Please continue to Applied Optoelectronics Piotroski F Score and Applied Optoelectronics Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Applied Optoelectronics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Applied Optoelectronics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Tools for Applied Stock

When running Applied Optoelectronics price analysis, check to measure Applied Optoelectronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Optoelectronics is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Optoelectronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Optoelectronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Optoelectronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Optoelectronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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