Alcoa Piotroski F Score

AA -  USA Stock  

USD 38.96  1.90  5.13%

This module uses fundamental data of Alcoa Corp to approximate its Piotroski F score. Alcoa Corp F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of Alcoa Corp. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about Alcoa Corp financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Please continue to Alcoa Corp Altman Z Score, Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Valuation, as well as analyze Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta and Alcoa Corp Hype Analysis.

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Alcoa Corp Debt Current is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Debt Current was at 2 Million. The current year Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities is expected to grow to about 796.3 M, whereas Total Debt is forecasted to decline to about 2.1 B. Alcoa Corp Interest Coverage is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 1.25. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 0.80, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is forecasted to decline to 66.01.
At this time, it appears that Alcoa Corp's Piotroski F Score is Healthy. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
5.0
Piotroski F Score - Healthy
1
Current Return On Assets
Negative
2
Change in Return on Assets
Decreased
3
Cash Flow Return on Assets
Positive
4
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)
Improving
5
Asset Turnover Growth
Increase
6
Current Ratio Change
Decrease
7
Long Term Debt Over Assets Change
Lower Leverage
8
Change In Outstending Shares
Increase
9
Change in Gross Margin
Increase

Alcoa Corp Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to Alcoa Corp is to make sure Alcoa is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if Alcoa Corp's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if Alcoa Corp's financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares204.8 M185.9 M
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares Diluted176.2 M186 M
Notably Down
Increasing
Very volatile
Net Cash Flow from Operations450 M394 M
Fairly Up
Increasing
Very volatile
Total Assets14.7 B14.9 B
Slightly Down
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities9.9 B9.8 B
Slightly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Assets4.5 B4.5 B
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Liabilities3.1 B2.8 B
Significantly Up
Increasing
Stable
Total Debt2.1 B2.5 B
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets(0.0129)(0.012)
Notably Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Gross Margin0.180.142
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover0.740.663
Moderately Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile

Alcoa Corp F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between Alcoa Corp's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Alcoa Corp in a much-optimized way.

About Alcoa Corp Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Operating Margin

2.36Share
Alcoa Corp Operating Margin is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Operating Margin was at 2.19

Alcoa Corp Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Alcoa Corp from analyzing Alcoa Corp's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Alcoa Corp's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Alcoa Corp's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee(28.49 K)14.86 K16.21 K(81.52 K)(13.14 K)(14.18 K)
Revenue Per Employee663.75 K798.08 K957.36 K756.01 K717.88 K700.15 K
Average Assets16.58 B17.18 B16.48 B15.15 B14.02 B14.18 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA745 M1.73 B1.84 B124 M816 M840.09 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD745 M1.73 B1.84 B124 M816 M840.09 M
Earnings before Tax(216 M)871 M982 M(710 M)17 M18.34 M
Average Equity7.55 B5.55 B5.31 B4.68 B3.67 B4.51 B
Free Cash Flow(715 M)819 M49 M307 M41 M42.08 M
Invested Capital14.51 B14.24 B13.9 B12.99 B12.96 B12.72 B
Invested Capital Average14.09 B14.73 B14.15 B13.47 B12.5 B12.45 B
Tangible Asset Value16.74 B17.45 B16.13 B14.63 B14.86 B14.72 B
Working Capital360 M986 M1.41 B967 M1.76 B1.41 B

About Alcoa Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alcoa Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alcoa Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alcoa Corp operates under Aluminum classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12900 people.

Alcoa Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Alcoa Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Alcoa. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - AA

Alcoa Corp Investor Sentiment

Nearly all of Macroaxis users are presently bullish on Alcoa Corp. What is your sentiment towards investing in Alcoa Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcoa Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Alcoa Corp Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcoa Corp and Aluminum Corp. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Please continue to Alcoa Corp Altman Z Score, Alcoa Corp Correlation, Alcoa Corp Valuation, as well as analyze Alcoa Corp Alpha and Beta and Alcoa Corp Hype Analysis. Note that the Alcoa Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alcoa Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcoa Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alcoa Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcoa Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.