Aegon Nv Adr Stock Beneish M Score

AEG Stock  USD 5.89  0.02  0.34%   
This module uses fundamental data of Aegon NV to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Aegon NV M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Aegon NV Piotroski F Score and Aegon NV Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Aegon NV's Debt To Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Aegon NV's current Interest Debt Per Share is estimated to increase to 3.66, while Short Term Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 89.3 M. At this time, Aegon NV's PTB Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Aegon NV's current Days Sales Outstanding is estimated to increase to 52.05, while Operating Cash Flow Per Share is projected to decrease to 0.35.
At this time, it appears that Aegon NV ADR is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Aegon NV's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Aegon NV executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Aegon NV's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.34
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.45

Focus
Asset Quality

0.99

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.13

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.82

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.13

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.29

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.96

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.38

Focus

Aegon NV Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Aegon NV's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net ReceivablesB3.6 B
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Assets259.7 B301.6 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets51.6 B58 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total284.4 B270.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment635.2 M554.3 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative3.3 BB
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities2.7 B2.1 B
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total4.7 BB
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt89.3 M94 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt4.5 B4.7 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments90 B50.4 B
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments176.4 B270.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.690.84
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

Aegon NV ADR Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Aegon NV's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Aegon NV in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Aegon NV's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Aegon NV Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

24.82 Billion

At this time, Aegon NV's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years.

Aegon NV Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Aegon NV. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables6.7B6.8B5.6B8.9B3.6B5.0B
Total Revenue61.1B44.3B46.1B(15.8B)29.5B28.4B
Total Assets440.3B443.8B468.3B401.8B301.6B259.7B
Total Current Assets110.1B115.8B113.9B73.2B58.0B51.6B
Net Debt(234M)2.7B5.3B3.3B842M799.9M
Short Term Debt58M72M1.7B1.3B94M89.3M
Long Term Debt4.1B10.7B11.2B5.3B4.7B4.5B
Operating Income1.3B(493M)2.2B(1.6B)(391M)(371.5M)
Investments(86M)(139M)(2M)616M(2.0B)(1.9B)

About Aegon NV Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aegon NV ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aegon NV using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aegon NV ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Aegon NV in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Aegon NV's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Aegon NV options trading.

Pair Trading with Aegon NV

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aegon NV position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aegon NV will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Aegon Stock

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Moving against Aegon Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aegon NV could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aegon NV when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aegon NV - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aegon NV ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Aegon NV is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aegon NV moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aegon NV ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aegon NV can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Aegon NV ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aegon NV's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aegon NV's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aegon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aegon NV Piotroski F Score and Aegon NV Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the Aegon NV ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aegon NV's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Aegon NV's price analysis, check to measure Aegon NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aegon NV is operating at the current time. Most of Aegon NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aegon NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aegon NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aegon NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aegon NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon NV. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aegon NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Dividend Share
0.3
Earnings Share
(0.09)
Revenue Per Share
6.86
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Aegon NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aegon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aegon NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aegon NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aegon NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aegon NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegon NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegon NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegon NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.