Air Lease Stock Z Score

AL Stock

USD 51.40 0.39 0.76%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Air Lease Piotroski F Score and Air Lease Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.

At this time, Air Lease's Capital Stock is quite stable compared to the past year. Change In Working Capital is expected to rise to about 63 M this year, although the value of Capital Surpluse will most likely fall to about 2.8 B. At this time, Air Lease's Operating Income is quite stable compared to the past year. Total Other Income Expense Net is expected to rise to about 108.2 M this year, although the value of Total Revenue will most likely fall to about 1.6 B.

Air Lease Company Z Score Analysis

Air Lease's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Air Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Air Lease is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Air Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Air Lease's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Air Lease's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Air Lease's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Net Receivables
Total Assets		0.99	0.95	1.0	0.92	0.77	1.0	-0.64	1.0	0.55	0.72	0.75	0.61	0.98	0.98	0.99	0.9	0.96	-0.78	0.7	0.89	0.59	0.7	0.35
Total Stockholder Equity	0.99		0.94	0.99	0.93	0.77	0.99	-0.6	0.99	0.57	0.7	0.76	0.59	0.96	0.99	0.98	0.91	0.98	-0.81	0.7	0.9	0.61	0.72	0.34
Current Deferred Revenue	0.95	0.94		0.96	0.88	0.69	0.96	-0.73	0.96	0.46	0.58	0.81	0.52	0.96	0.9	0.9	0.74	0.89	-0.69	0.59	0.75	0.57	0.63	0.24
Net Debt	1.0	0.99	0.96		0.92	0.77	1.0	-0.64	1.0	0.52	0.71	0.76	0.62	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.89	0.95	-0.76	0.66	0.88	0.56	0.68	0.35
Retained Earnings	0.92	0.93	0.88	0.92		0.91	0.92	-0.65	0.92	0.54	0.81	0.72	0.68	0.9	0.94	0.92	0.86	0.96	-0.84	0.7	0.92	0.53	0.87	0.55
Accounts Payable	0.77	0.77	0.69	0.77	0.91		0.77	-0.53	0.77	0.31	0.9	0.61	0.8	0.75	0.8	0.8	0.82	0.8	-0.74	0.54	0.87	0.21	0.85	0.84
Long Term Debt	1.0	0.99	0.96	1.0	0.92	0.77		-0.64	1.0	0.56	0.72	0.75	0.6	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.89	0.95	-0.77	0.71	0.89	0.6	0.69	0.33
Short Term Investments	-0.64	-0.6	-0.73	-0.64	-0.65	-0.53	-0.64		-0.65	-0.22	-0.4	-0.36	-0.46	-0.73	-0.6	-0.62	-0.44	-0.61	0.39	-0.34	-0.46	-0.3	-0.43	-0.23
Total Liab	1.0	0.99	0.96	1.0	0.92	0.77	1.0	-0.65		0.54	0.72	0.75	0.61	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.89	0.95	-0.77	0.69	0.88	0.58	0.69	0.35
Total Current Assets	0.55	0.57	0.46	0.52	0.54	0.31	0.56	-0.22	0.54		0.48	0.38	0.05	0.52	0.57	0.56	0.49	0.54	-0.57	0.95	0.62	0.94	0.58	-0.01
Short Term Debt	0.72	0.7	0.58	0.71	0.81	0.9	0.72	-0.4	0.72	0.48		0.52	0.83	0.68	0.72	0.76	0.79	0.7	-0.63	0.68	0.87	0.3	0.77	0.74
Common Stock	0.75	0.76	0.81	0.76	0.72	0.61	0.75	-0.36	0.75	0.38	0.52		0.47	0.71	0.66	0.66	0.55	0.68	-0.6	0.48	0.59	0.43	0.58	0.27
Property Plant Equipment	0.61	0.59	0.52	0.62	0.68	0.8	0.6	-0.46	0.61	0.05	0.83	0.47		0.6	0.6	0.61	0.67	0.62	-0.44	0.26	0.65	-0.09	0.51	0.67
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.98	0.96	0.96	0.98	0.9	0.75	0.98	-0.73	0.98	0.52	0.68	0.71	0.6		0.95	0.96	0.85	0.93	-0.71	0.67	0.83	0.57	0.65	0.33
Net Tangible Assets	0.98	0.99	0.9	0.97	0.94	0.8	0.97	-0.6	0.97	0.57	0.72	0.66	0.6	0.95		0.99	0.94	0.98	-0.83	0.71	0.93	0.59	0.74	0.4
Long Term Debt Total	0.99	0.98	0.9	0.98	0.92	0.8	0.98	-0.62	0.98	0.56	0.76	0.66	0.61	0.96	0.99		0.94	0.96	-0.8	0.72	0.93	0.57	0.71	0.42
Capital Surpluse	0.9	0.91	0.74	0.89	0.86	0.82	0.89	-0.44	0.89	0.49	0.79	0.55	0.67	0.85	0.94	0.94		0.92	-0.81	0.66	0.96	0.45	0.74	0.52
Long Term Investments	0.96	0.98	0.89	0.95	0.96	0.8	0.95	-0.61	0.95	0.54	0.7	0.68	0.62	0.93	0.98	0.96	0.92		-0.85	0.67	0.91	0.57	0.78	0.39
Short Long Term Debt	-0.78	-0.81	-0.69	-0.76	-0.84	-0.74	-0.77	0.39	-0.77	-0.57	-0.63	-0.6	-0.44	-0.71	-0.83	-0.8	-0.81	-0.85		-0.66	-0.88	-0.59	-0.82	-0.41
Cash And Equivalents	0.7	0.7	0.59	0.66	0.7	0.54	0.71	-0.34	0.69	0.95	0.68	0.48	0.26	0.67	0.71	0.72	0.66	0.67	-0.66		0.77	0.86	0.69	0.26
Net Invested Capital	0.89	0.9	0.75	0.88	0.92	0.87	0.89	-0.46	0.88	0.62	0.87	0.59	0.65	0.83	0.93	0.93	0.96	0.91	-0.88	0.77		0.56	0.87	0.55
Net Working Capital	0.59	0.61	0.57	0.56	0.53	0.21	0.6	-0.3	0.58	0.94	0.3	0.43	-0.09	0.57	0.59	0.57	0.45	0.57	-0.59	0.86	0.56		0.53	-0.2
Capital Stock	0.7	0.72	0.63	0.68	0.87	0.85	0.69	-0.43	0.69	0.58	0.77	0.58	0.51	0.65	0.74	0.71	0.74	0.78	-0.82	0.69	0.87	0.53		0.6
Net Receivables	0.35	0.34	0.24	0.35	0.55	0.84	0.33	-0.23	0.35	-0.01	0.74	0.27	0.67	0.33	0.4	0.42	0.52	0.39	-0.41	0.26	0.55	-0.2	0.6

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Air Lease

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Air Lease has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Trading Companies & Distributors sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Air Lease Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Air Lease from analyzing Air Lease's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Air Lease's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Air Lease's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	5.3B	5.0B	5.0B	4.3B	4.7B	3.1B
Enterprise Value	18.6B	19.8B	21.0B	22.2B	23.4B	24.5B

Air Lease Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Air Lease that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Air Lease's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Air Lease's value.

		Shares
Millennium Management Llc	2023-12-31	1.9 M
Copeland Capital Management, Llc	2024-03-31	1.8 M
Earnest Partners Llc	2023-12-31	1.8 M
State Street Corporation	2023-12-31	1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2023-12-31	1.5 M
Fidelity International Ltd	2023-12-31	1.5 M
Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc	2024-03-31	1.4 M
Cooke & Bieler Lp	2023-12-31	1.4 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company	2023-12-31	1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2023-12-31	10.2 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2023-12-31	7.2 M

Air Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.089
	Return On Asset	0.0296
	Profit Margin	0.23 %
	Operating Margin	0.53 %
	Current Valuation	24.22 B
	Shares Outstanding	111.37 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	6.51 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	91.41 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	5.31 M
	Price To Earning	8.71 X
	Price To Book	0.76 X
	Price To Sales	2.01 X
	Revenue	2.68 B
	Gross Profit	1.35 B
	EBITDA	1.81 B
	Net Income	614.62 M
	Cash And Equivalents	766.42 M
	Cash Per Share	9.13 X
	Total Debt	19.18 B
	Debt To Equity	2.85 %
	Current Ratio	0.90 X
	Book Value Per Share	64.49 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.75 B
	Short Ratio	1.95 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.14 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.91 X
	Target Price	54.0
	Number Of Employees	163
	Beta	1.65
	Market Capitalization	5.68 B
	Total Asset	30.45 B
	Retained Earnings	3.87 B
	Working Capital	(843.51 M)
	Current Asset	1.24 B
	Current Liabilities	1.07 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.40 %
	Net Asset	30.45 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.81

About Air Lease Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Air Lease's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Air Lease using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Lease based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Air Lease

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Lease position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Lease will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Air Stock

0.93

AER

AerCap Holdings NV Earnings Call This Week

Pair Corr

Moving against Air Stock

0.73	ZCAR	Zoomcar Holdings Symbol Change	Pair Corr
0.7	YAYO	Yayyo Inc	Pair Corr
0.7	ZCARW	Zoomcar Holdings Symbol Change	Pair Corr
0.63	WSC	Willscot Mobile Mini Earnings Call This Week	Pair Corr
0.52	TRTN-PE	Triton International	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Lease could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Lease when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Lease - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Lease to buy it.

The correlation of Air Lease is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Lease moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Lease moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Lease can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

When determining whether Air Lease is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Lease's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Lease's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Air

Details

Is Air Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Air Lease's Net Worth?

Details

Largest Trading Companies & Distributors Companies

View

Largest Rental & Leasing Services Companies

View

Check out Air Lease Piotroski F Score and Air Lease Valuation analysis.

For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.

You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis

When running Air Lease's price analysis, check to measure Air Lease's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Lease is operating at the current time. Most of Air Lease's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Lease's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Lease's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Lease to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

	Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
	Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
	Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
	CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
	Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
	Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
	Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
	Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
	Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
	Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
	Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
	Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope

Is Air Lease's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.556

Dividend Share

0.81

Earnings Share

5.14

Revenue Per Share

24.188

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.191

The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

Air Lease Stock Z Score

Air Lease Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Air Z Score Driver Correlations

Air Lease Current Valuation Drivers

Air Lease Institutional Holders

Air Fundamentals

About Air Lease Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Air Lease

Moving together with Air Stock

Moving against Air Stock

Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY