American Probability Of Bankruptcy

AMFCX -  USA Fund  

USD 50.00  0.10  0.20%

American Mutual Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. American Mutual Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting American Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the American balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please continue to American Mutual Piotroski F Score and American Mutual Altman Z Score analysis.

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American Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

American Mutual's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
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Z-Score 
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Current American Mutual Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  1%  
Most of American Mutual's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Mutual is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of American Mutual probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Mutual odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Mutual financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Mutual value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

American Mutual Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, American Mutual has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the American Funds family and significantly higher than that of the Large Value category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Mutual's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Mutual could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Mutual by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
American Mutual is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

American Fundamentals

About American Mutual Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Mutual's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Mutual using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Mutual based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
The investment seeks current income, growth of capital and conservation of principal. American Mutual is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in American Mutual without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Portfolio Holdings

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Pair Trading with American Mutual

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Mutual position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Mutual will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

American Mutual Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Mutual and MFS Series Trust. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Please continue to American Mutual Piotroski F Score and American Mutual Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the American Mutual information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Mutual's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running American Mutual price analysis, check to measure American Mutual's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Mutual is operating at the current time. Most of American Mutual's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Mutual's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Mutual's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Mutual to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Mutual's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Mutual value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Mutual's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.