This module uses fundamental data of Ameresco to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ameresco M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ameresco Piotroski F Score and Ameresco Altman Z Score analysis.
At present, Ameresco's Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 1.2 B, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 218 M. At present, Ameresco's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Invested Capital is expected to grow to 1.74, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.78.
At this time, it appears that Ameresco is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ameresco's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ameresco executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ameresco's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ameresco's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ameresco's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ameresco in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ameresco's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
Depreciation And Amortization
69.48 Million
At present, Ameresco's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
Ameresco Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ameresco. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ameresco's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ameresco using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ameresco based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
The influence of Ameresco's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ameresco. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ameresco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ameresco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ameresco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ameresco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ameresco's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ameresco's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ameresco's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ameresco.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ameresco in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ameresco's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ameresco options trading.
Pair Trading with Ameresco
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ameresco position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ameresco will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ameresco could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ameresco when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ameresco - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ameresco to buy it.
The correlation of Ameresco is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ameresco moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ameresco moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ameresco can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
When determining whether Ameresco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ameresco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ameresco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ameresco Stock:
For information on how to trade Ameresco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ameresco Stock guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Ameresco Stock analysis
When running Ameresco's price analysis, check to measure Ameresco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ameresco is operating at the current time. Most of Ameresco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ameresco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ameresco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ameresco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ameresco's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ameresco. If investors know Ameresco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ameresco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.856
Earnings Share
1.17
Revenue Per Share
26.364
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.331
Return On Assets
0.0161
The market value of Ameresco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ameresco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ameresco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ameresco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ameresco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ameresco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ameresco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ameresco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ameresco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.