Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

ARCT Stock  USD 27.93  0.87  3.22%   
This module uses fundamental data of Arcturus Therapeutics to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Arcturus Therapeutics M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Arcturus Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and Arcturus Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Arcturus Therapeutics' Short and Long Term Debt Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Short and Long Term Debt is likely to gain to about 73.2 M in 2024, whereas Interest Debt Per Share is likely to drop 0.70 in 2024. At this time, Arcturus Therapeutics' Net Debt To EBITDA is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Current Ratio is likely to gain to 9.31 in 2024, whereas Free Cash Flow Yield is likely to drop (0.03) in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Arcturus Therapeutics is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Arcturus Therapeutics' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Arcturus Therapeutics executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Arcturus Therapeutics' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.14
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.18

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.05

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.87

Focus

Arcturus Therapeutics Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Arcturus Therapeutics' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables33.7 M32.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets450.9 M429.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets405.9 M386.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total45 M42.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment54.3 M51.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative55.5 M52.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities86.1 M82 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt4.1 M4.3 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt49.1 M46.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Arcturus Therapeutics Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Arcturus Therapeutics' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Arcturus Therapeutics in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Arcturus Therapeutics' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Arcturus Therapeutics Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

3.1 Million

At this time, Arcturus Therapeutics' Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Arcturus Therapeutics Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Arcturus Therapeutics. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables2.2M2.1M3.4M2.8M32.1M33.7M
Total Revenue20.8M9.5M12.4M205.8M157.7M165.6M
Total Assets82.1M476.5M392.8M450.4M429.4M450.9M
Total Current Assets74.3M467.8M379.0M403.3M386.6M405.9M
Net Debt(51.5M)(445.0M)(302.9M)(301.0M)(316.8M)(300.9M)
Operating Income(25.5M)(71.5M)(202.9M)12.2M(4.2M)(4.4M)
Investments(818K)(1.7M)(3.4M)(7.7M)(5.8M)(5.5M)

About Arcturus Therapeutics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Arcturus Therapeutics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Arcturus Therapeutics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Arcturus Therapeutics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arcturus Therapeutics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Arcturus Stock

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Moving against Arcturus Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Arcturus Therapeutics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Arcturus Therapeutics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Arcturus Therapeutics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Arcturus Therapeutics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Arcturus Therapeutics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Arcturus Therapeutics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Arcturus Therapeutics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Arcturus Therapeutics is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Arcturus Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Stock:
Check out Arcturus Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and Arcturus Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the Arcturus Therapeutics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arcturus Therapeutics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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Is Arcturus Therapeutics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcturus Therapeutics. If investors know Arcturus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcturus Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.12)
Revenue Per Share
6.264
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.81)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.11)
The market value of Arcturus Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcturus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcturus Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcturus Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcturus Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcturus Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcturus Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcturus Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcturus Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.