Avino Silver Gold Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ASM Stock  USD 0.59  0.01  1.72%   
Avino Silver's odds of distress is less than 3% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial distress in the next 24 months. Avino Silver's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Avino Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Avino balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Avino Silver Piotroski F Score and Avino Silver Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Avino Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Avino Silver's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Interest Expense76K372K470.5K311.0K
Depreciation And Amortization2.1M2.2M3.0M3.2M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Avino Silver Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 3%  
Most of Avino Silver's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Avino Silver Gold is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Avino Silver probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Avino Silver odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Avino Silver Gold financial health.
Is Avino Silver's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avino Silver. If investors know Avino will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avino Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Earnings Share
0.01
Revenue Per Share
0.362
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0015
The market value of Avino Silver Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avino that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avino Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avino Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avino Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avino Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avino Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avino Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avino Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Avino Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Avino Silver is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Avino Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Avino Silver's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Avino Silver's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Avino Silver's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Avino Silver Gold has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.23% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and significantly higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Avino Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Avino Silver's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Avino Silver could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avino Silver by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Avino Silver is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Avino Silver Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0322)(0.11)(0.0238)0.02550.0042550.004468
Gross Profit Margin0.18(0.008505)0.01190.320.160.17
Net Debt(2.3M)(8.6M)(23.7M)(4.6M)404.9K425.2K
Total Current Liabilities9.6M5.0M3.8M16.8M13.7M14.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total9.1M4.8M3.9M6.4M10.5M6.2M
Total Assets72.6M68.8M86.3M121.2M129.7M136.2M
Total Current Assets22.8M19.7M35.5M25.6M23.4M11.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.5M72K109K11.8M1.5M1.1M

Avino Fundamentals

About Avino Silver Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Avino Silver Gold's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Avino Silver using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avino Silver Gold based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Avino Silver Gold Mines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and advancement of mineral properties in Canada. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Avino Silver operates under Other Precious Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange.

Pair Trading with Avino Silver

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Avino Silver position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Avino Silver will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Avino Stock

  0.78BVN Compania De Minas Financial Report 25th of April 2024 PairCorr
  0.89EXK Endeavour Silver Corp Buyout TrendPairCorr

Moving against Avino Stock

  0.74X United States Steel Financial Report 25th of April 2024 PairCorr
  0.68AUMN Golden Minerals Financial Report 8th of May 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Avino Silver could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Avino Silver when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Avino Silver - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Avino Silver Gold to buy it.
The correlation of Avino Silver is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Avino Silver moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Avino Silver Gold moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Avino Silver can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Avino Silver Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze Avino Silver's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Avino Silver's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Avino Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Avino Stock analysis

When running Avino Silver's price analysis, check to measure Avino Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avino Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Avino Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avino Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avino Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avino Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Avino Silver's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avino Silver. If investors know Avino will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avino Silver listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Earnings Share
0.01
Revenue Per Share
0.362
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
0.0015
The market value of Avino Silver Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avino that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avino Silver's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avino Silver's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avino Silver's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avino Silver's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avino Silver's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avino Silver is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avino Silver's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.