Atkore International Group Stock Beneish M Score

ATKR Stock  USD 179.11  0.87  0.48%   
This module uses fundamental data of Atkore International to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Atkore International M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Atkore International Piotroski F Score and Atkore International Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Atkore International's Debt To Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to grow to 0.67, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 842.8 M. At this time, Atkore International's Inventory Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 16.80, while Free Cash Flow Yield is likely to drop 0.09.
At this time, it appears that Atkore International is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Atkore International's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Atkore International executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Atkore International's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.0
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.93

Focus
Asset Quality

0.7

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.04

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.59

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.04

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.8

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.57

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.3

Focus

Atkore International Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Atkore International's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables344.3 M643.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.3 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.8 B3.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets905.5 M1.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total865.4 M1.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment675 M642.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization82.4 M156.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative266.7 M446.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities349.6 M649.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total822 MB
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt13.9 M14.6 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt803.9 M877.1 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities975.2 M928.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.4 M1.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.20.34
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Atkore International Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Atkore International's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Atkore International in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Atkore International's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Atkore International Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

82.35 Million

At this time, Atkore International's Depreciation And Amortization is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Atkore International Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Atkore International. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables298.2M524.9M528.9M559.9M643.8M344.3M
Total Revenue1.8B2.9B3.9B3.5B4.0B2.3B
Total Assets1.6B2.2B2.6B2.9B3.4B1.8B
Total Current Assets828.7M1.4B1.5B1.5B1.8B905.5M
Net Debt559.2M224.1M443.6M496.3M570.8M486.5M
Short Term Debt15.8M11.8M13.8M16.2M14.6M13.9M
Long Term Debt803.7M758.4M760.5M762.7M877.1M803.9M
Operating Income239.6M799.0M1.2B893.5M1.0B1.1B
Investments(27.5M)(98.0M)(442.8M)(302.2M)(271.9M)(258.3M)
Gross Profit Margin0.260.280.380.420.340.2

About Atkore International Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Atkore International Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Atkore International using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atkore International Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Atkore International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Atkore International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Atkore International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Atkore International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Atkore International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Atkore International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Atkore International Group to buy it.
The correlation of Atkore International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Atkore International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Atkore International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Atkore International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Atkore International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Atkore International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Atkore International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Atkore Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Atkore International Piotroski F Score and Atkore International Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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Is Atkore International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atkore International. If investors know Atkore will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atkore International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
16.68
Revenue Per Share
91.461
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.1902
The market value of Atkore International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atkore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atkore International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atkore International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atkore International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atkore International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atkore International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atkore International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atkore International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.