Air Transport Services Stock Z Score

ATSG Stock  USD 12.61  0.16  1.29%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Air Transport Piotroski F Score and Air Transport Valuation analysis.
  
At this time, Air Transport's Capital Expenditures is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Air Transport's current Change In Working Capital is estimated to increase to about 188.5 M, while Net Invested Capital is projected to decrease to roughly 2.5 B. At this time, Air Transport's EBIT is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Air Transport's current EBITDA is estimated to increase to about 570 M, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to roughly 189.8 M.

Air Transport Services Company Z Score Analysis

Air Transport's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Air Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Air Transport is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Air Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Air Transport's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Air Transport's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Air Transport's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Air Transport Services has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Air Freight & Logistics sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Air Transport Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Air Transport that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Air Transport's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Air Transport's value.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc2023-12-31
1.1 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
916.8 K
Anchor Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
723.4 K
Ipg Investment Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
703.5 K
Dg Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
696.5 K
Prescott Group Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
688 K
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
629 K
Amazon.com Inc2023-12-31
12.7 M
River Road Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
8.4 M

Air Fundamentals

About Air Transport Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Air Transport Services's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Air Transport using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Transport Services based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Air Transport

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Transport position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Transport will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Air Stock

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Moving against Air Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Transport could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Transport when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Transport - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Transport Services to buy it.
The correlation of Air Transport is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Transport moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Transport Services moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Transport can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Air Transport Services is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Transport's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Transport's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Air Transport Piotroski F Score and Air Transport Valuation analysis.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis

When running Air Transport's price analysis, check to measure Air Transport's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Transport is operating at the current time. Most of Air Transport's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Transport's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Transport's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Transport to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Air Transport's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Transport. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Transport listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
30.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.0272
The market value of Air Transport Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Transport's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Transport's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Transport's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Transport's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Transport's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Transport is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Transport's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.