Avgol Industries 1953 Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AVGL Stock | 128.00 5.20 3.90% |
Avgol |
Avgol Industries 1953 Company chance of distress Analysis
Avgol Industries' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Avgol Industries Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 10% |
Most of Avgol Industries' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Avgol Industries 1953 is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Avgol Industries probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Avgol Industries odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Avgol Industries 1953 financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Avgol Industries 1953 has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 75.84% lower than that of the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector and 85.38% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Israel stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.
Avgol Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Avgol Industries' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Avgol Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avgol Industries by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Avgol Industries is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Avgol Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0578 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.1 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.04 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 304.22 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 65.97 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 15.50 % | |||
| Price To Book | 0.77 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 1.16 X | |||
| Revenue | 471.41 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 64.33 M | |||
| EBITDA | 51.55 M | |||
| Net Income | 8.14 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 32.74 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.11 X | |||
| Total Debt | 163.78 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 199.10 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.65 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.74 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 25.7 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.34 X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 782 | |||
| Beta | 0.34 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 527.83 M | |||
| Total Asset | 489.01 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | 95 M | |||
| Working Capital | 55 M | |||
| Current Asset | 132 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 77 M | |||
| Z Score | 1.8 | |||
| Five Year Return | 3.80 % | |||
| Net Asset | 489.01 M |
About Avgol Industries Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Avgol Industries 1953's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Avgol Industries using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avgol Industries 1953 based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Avgol Industries in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Avgol Industries' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Avgol Industries options trading.
Pair Trading with Avgol Industries
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Avgol Industries position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Avgol Industries will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Avgol Stock
| 0.79 | FOX | Fox Wizel | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | CMDR | Computer Direct | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | DIFI | Direct Finance TA | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | HRON | Hiron Trade Investments | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | DANE | Danel | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Avgol Industries could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Avgol Industries when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Avgol Industries - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Avgol Industries 1953 to buy it.
The correlation of Avgol Industries is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Avgol Industries moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Avgol Industries 1953 moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Avgol Industries can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Avgol Industries 1953. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Avgol Stock analysis
When running Avgol Industries' price analysis, check to measure Avgol Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avgol Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Avgol Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avgol Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avgol Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avgol Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. |