Mission Produce Stock Beneish M Score

AVO Stock  USD 11.38  0.01  0.09%   
This module uses fundamental data of Mission Produce to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Mission Produce M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Mission Produce Piotroski F Score and Mission Produce Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Mission Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mission Produce guide.
  
At this time, Mission Produce's Net Debt To EBITDA is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of April 2024, Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 0.13, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 228.8 M. At this time, Mission Produce's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of April 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 19.16, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.0002.
At this time, it appears that Mission Produce is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Mission Produce's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Mission Produce executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Mission Produce's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.52
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.96

Focus
Asset Quality

1.03

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.81

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.3

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.81

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.14

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.92

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.86

Focus

Mission Produce Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Mission Produce's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables97.1 M110.5 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB1.1 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets872 M1.1 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets239.5 M253.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total632.5 M798.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment436 M563.2 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization25.4 M37.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative65.3 M87.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities94.3 M112.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total273.3 M332.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt156.5 M241.3 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt12 M18.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt130.2 M136 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income5.9 M6.2 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities42.1 M26.3 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments37.4 M27.9 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.130.1
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Mission Produce Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Mission Produce's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Mission Produce in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Mission Produce's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Mission Produce Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

957.6 Million

At this time, Mission Produce's Other Operating Expenses is very stable compared to the past year.

Mission Produce Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Mission Produce. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables87.1M75.3M96.1M88.2M110.5M97.1M
Total Revenue862.3M891.7M1.0B953.9M1.1B1.0B
Total Assets777.3M873.5M879.5M914.8M1.1B872.0M
Total Current Assets248.1M247.1M228.1M220.1M253.1M239.5M
Net Debt54.6M128.8M161.3M209.8M241.3M156.5M
Short Term Debt8.6M13.5M11.9M15.9M18.3M12.0M
Long Term Debt166.7M155.1M136.9M151.1M136.0M130.2M
Operating Income68.4M60.9M21.8M6.9M6.2M5.9M
Investments(4M)(200K)2.6M(54.1M)(62.2M)(59.1M)

About Mission Produce Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Mission Produce's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mission Produce using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mission Produce based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Mission Produce

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mission Produce position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mission Produce will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mission Produce could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mission Produce when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mission Produce - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mission Produce to buy it.
The correlation of Mission Produce is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mission Produce moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mission Produce moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mission Produce can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Mission Produce offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mission Produce's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mission Produce Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mission Produce Stock:
Check out Mission Produce Piotroski F Score and Mission Produce Altman Z Score analysis.
To learn how to invest in Mission Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mission Produce guide.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Mission Produce's price analysis, check to measure Mission Produce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mission Produce is operating at the current time. Most of Mission Produce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mission Produce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mission Produce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mission Produce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mission Produce's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mission Produce. If investors know Mission will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mission Produce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
14.118
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.212
Return On Assets
0.0167
The market value of Mission Produce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mission that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mission Produce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mission Produce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mission Produce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mission Produce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mission Produce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mission Produce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mission Produce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.