Axis Capital Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

AXS Stock  USD 62.25  0.07  0.11%   
This module uses fundamental data of AXIS Capital to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. AXIS Capital M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out AXIS Capital Piotroski F Score and AXIS Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, AXIS Capital's Net Debt is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to gain to 34.96 in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 1.1 B in 2024. At this time, AXIS Capital's Income Quality is comparatively stable compared to the past year. ROE is likely to gain to 0.10 in 2024, whereas Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 37.18 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that AXIS Capital Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if AXIS Capital's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by AXIS Capital executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of AXIS Capital's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.86
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.43

Focus
Asset Quality

0.38

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.43

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.8

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.43

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.74

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.8

Focus

AXIS Capital Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if AXIS Capital's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables10.6 B10.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.1 B5.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets20.2 B28.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets16.4 B11.8 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total17.4 B16.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization79.3 M75.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative718.7 M684.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities10.3 B18.3 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total5.1 B4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt16.7 M17.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.1 B1.4 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities775.2 M1.3 B
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Investments16.4 M17.2 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Investments15 B13.7 B
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.80.9981
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

AXIS Capital Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between AXIS Capital's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards AXIS Capital in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find AXIS Capital's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About AXIS Capital Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.64 Billion

At this time, AXIS Capital's Other Operating Expenses is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

AXIS Capital Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as AXIS Capital. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables7.4B7.7B8.4B9.2B10.1B10.6B
Total Revenue5.2B4.8B5.3B5.1B5.6B4.1B
Total Assets25.6B25.9B27.4B27.6B28.3B20.2B
Total Current Assets21.1B20.8B21.5B21.4B11.8B16.4B
Net Debt682.6M547.1M585.9M744.9M138.6M145.6M
Short Term Debt115.6M140.3M119.5M102.6M17.5M16.7M
Long Term Debt1.8B1.3B1.3B1.3B1.4B1.1B
Operating Income330.7M(124.7M)657.7M365.6M4.2M4.0M
Investments(711.2M)534.6M(1.1B)(655.8M)(1.1B)(1.1B)

AXIS Capital ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, AXIS Capital's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to AXIS Capital's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About AXIS Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AXIS Capital Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AXIS Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AXIS Capital Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with AXIS Capital

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AXIS Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AXIS Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with AXIS Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to AXIS Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AXIS Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AXIS Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AXIS Capital Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of AXIS Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AXIS Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AXIS Capital Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AXIS Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether AXIS Capital Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze AXIS Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AXIS Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AXIS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out AXIS Capital Piotroski F Score and AXIS Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running AXIS Capital's price analysis, check to measure AXIS Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXIS Capital is operating at the current time. Most of AXIS Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXIS Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXIS Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXIS Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AXIS Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AXIS Capital. If investors know AXIS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AXIS Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.226
Dividend Share
1.76
Earnings Share
4.02
Revenue Per Share
66.282
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.023
The market value of AXIS Capital Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AXIS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AXIS Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AXIS Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AXIS Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AXIS Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AXIS Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AXIS Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AXIS Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.